Debate blog:
Scotland should be
independent!
Campaigning for Scottish independence actually
began shortly after the unification with England took place in 1707. At that time it was believed that the Scots
were almost bankrupt and in need of urgent cash. Others claimed that the Scots
who signed the unification treaty were bribed.
An important date for Scotland was the year
1934, when the Scottish National Party was founded as a “merger” between the
Scottish Party and the National Party of Scotland.
The Scottish devolution in 1999 gave the SNP the
opportunity to fight for independence at Westminster. Tony Blair, who was prime
minister at that time, saw opportunities for a Scottish parliament and its
importance for the SNP but he wanted to prevent the SNP to gain sole power in
Scotland. Voting was done by part first
past the post, part PR system.
Upto 2011 the country was governed by the
Labour/Liberal Democrat coalition for two terms and one term by an SNP
minority.
It is very difficult to say whether most of the
Scots are in favour of independence; one thing is certain, a vote for the SNP
does not automatically mean a vote for independence. According to recent polls,
support for independence is somewhere between 32% and 38% which is less than
the votes the SNP got when it was in office as a minority government. Another
poll (YouGoy, April 2011) showed support for independence was 28% and 57% opposed.
Political support for independence comes from
the SNP, the Greens and independent MSP Margo Macdonald. Liberal Democrats,
Labour and Tories are opposed.
The referendum will most probably be held in the
autumn of 2014. The referendum needs backing of the central government at
Westminster otherwise it would not be legally binding.
If all proceeds as expected, the Scottish voters
will vote for a yes or no to the independence referendum but this doesn’t mean
independence is a fact. When the general
vote is a “yes”, talks will start with Westminster.
Apart from a full independence, voters could
also vote for a so called “devolution max”. This means that Scotland would be independent
in most but not all aspects. For example, it could meant that Westminster still
has fiscal control over Scotland.
If voters vote “yes”, Scotland could be
independent by 2016. However, a “no” vote would most probably mean the end of
the SNP.
Reaction
I am not giving you my reasons why I am in
favour of an independent Scotland because you will hear them coming Thursday,
when I am going to do the debate on this subject. Just read my blog if you’re
interested and try to form your own opinion on what would be the best thing for
Scotland. There are loads of articles on this subject on the internet and BBC
news also has interesting interviews to be watched. See you on Thursday!